Recurrent ancient geomagnetic field anomalies shed light on future evolution of the South Atlantic Anomaly

Authors: Andreas Nilsson, Neil Suttie, Joseph S. Stoner, Raimund Muscheler

Year: 2022

Category: Geomagnetism

Journal: PNAS

DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2200749119

URL: https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2200749119

Abstract

Overview

The Earth's geomagnetic field, vital for shielding against harmful particle radiation, has shown a significant decrease in strength and increased asymmetry leading to the expansion of the South Atlantic Anomaly over the past two centuries. This alarming decline raises important concerns for space travel and satellite operations in low Earth orbit.

Methodology and Findings

  • Our study utilized archaeological and geological records to reconstruct Earth's magnetic field changes over the past 9,000 years.
  • We have identified repeated magnetic field anomalies, similar to the current South Atlantic Anomaly, through this extensive period analysis.
  • A probabilistic model identified potential ancient analogs, providing insights into quasiperiodic millennial-scale variations which affect the dipole moment and hence the magnetic field.

Conclusion

The findings suggest that patterns similar to the South Atlantic Anomaly have periodically emerged throughout history, influencing the field's configuration. Notably, a significant anomaly around 600 BCE indicates a possible future reduction in geomagnetic anomalies, leading to a potential return to a symmetric field alignment and a possible strengthening of the geomagnetic field, enhancing the Earth's protective shield against radiation. These insights may provide a crucial understanding necessary for predicting and mitigating future changes in the geomagnetic field with serious implications for global communication and space travel safety.

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